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Aboukhadra, W (2021) Learning organisation, affective commitment and cultural intelligence: the case of expatriates in the Gulf Co-operation Council countries, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Adnan, H B (2004) Joint venture projects in Malaysian Construction Industry Factors Critical to success, Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of Property and Construction, Nottingham Trent University.

Agyekum-Mensah, G (2013) The development of an innovative sustainable total planning and control system for construction projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of Architecture, Design and the Built Environment, Nottingham Trent University.

Ahmed Namadi, S i (2019) A framework for collaborative costing in the UK construction industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of Architecture, Design and the Built Environment, Nottingham Trent University.

Alharbi, F (2020) Critical delay factors in housing construction projects in Saudi Arabia: Assessment and solutions, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Asnaashari, E (2011) A holistic conceptual model for managing construction logistics in building projects: the case of Iran, Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of Science and Technology, Nottingham Trent University.

Boyal-Seth, H (2011) Assessing the business case for supplier diversity in the construction housing sector, Unpublished PhD Thesis, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.

Coupar, G (2009) Modern approaches to repairs and maintenance procurement within the social housing sector, Unpublished PhD Thesis, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.

Daniel, E I (2017) Exploratory study into the use of Last Planner® System and collaborative planning for construction process improvement, Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of Architecture, Design and the Built Environment, Nottingham Trent University.

Dowd, V G (1999) The pervading role of risk allocation as the link mechanism between factors of influence and construction procurement practices adopted in the UK construction industry over the period 1965-1995, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Dupin, P (2021) Using pull and flow systems to improve production stability in real estate development projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Grada, M (2007) The impact of economic value added measure in assessing the business performance of UK construction companies, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Hackett, V (2017) The impact of a collaborative planning approach on engineering construction performance, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Hamza, A (2002) Partnering in the construction industry: an empirical investigation into the critical success factors, Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of Property and Construction, Nottingham Trent University.

Hurst, A G (2009) Management education, training and development of construction managers: will they ever learn?, Unpublished PhD Thesis, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.

Idan, C K (2003) Quality function deployment (QFD) in the UK construction industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Jaafar, T (1992) A unified methodology for project planning risk, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Jackson, F (2006) Biodegradable hydraulic fluids: Reducing oil-related pollution in the construction industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Keats, R J (2014) An exploration of how professional associations advance innovation and promote innovation pedagogy, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Khadour, L (2010) Total quality environmental management framework towards sustainability (UK novated D&B principal contractors), Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of Architecture, Design and the Built Environment, Nottingham Trent University.

Khalid, U (2022) Investigation into the development of a human reliability analysis framework for the safety management of construction projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Kings, S (2002) Pricing documentation for contractors' estimators: Establishing a more effective approach, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

McLean, M (2014) A longitudinal analysis of a partial mediation model of employee engagement in a knowledge-intensive firm, Unpublished PhD Thesis, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.

Musa, M M (2019) A framework for implementing target value delivery to enhance value creation in the construction industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Owen, K J (2002) Success factors in the procurement of privately financed tolled transportation infrastructure projects in the UK, Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of Property and Construction, Nottingham Trent University.

Payne, B (1998) Project risk analysis, Unpublished PhD Thesis, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.

  • Type: Thesis
  • Keywords: accuracy; liability; probability; project manager; reliability; risk analysis; simulation
  • ISBN/ISSN:
  • URL: http://irep.ntu.ac.uk/id/eprint/40579/
  • Abstract:
    This thesis reviews the history and literature of Project Risk Analysis (PRA) and provides a conceptual model where time, cost and quality characteristics are modelled. Investigation of project managers' requirements, specifically in the construction industry, reveals the need for a model incorporating the operation performance of the project outcome. The concept of project quality loss is introduced and models explored throughout. A representation of a project as a set of sequential phases is developed which provides the framework for modelling the project operation measures reliability, availability and output. Investigation of current methods for performing a project risk analysis of a single characteristic such as time, revealed the choice of approach needs to depend on the activity distribution used, the network configuration and the desired accuracy. A Laplace transform approach is developed where the explicit probability function is obtained for project completion time assuming activity distributions are special Erlangian. An algorithm, based on the network reduction method of Dodin (1984a), is provided and implemented with the developed Laplace transform approach within the Mathematica system. Network examples are investigated, including the 'Forbidden Network' configuration of Ringer (1969) and comparisons made to the approaches PERT, method of moments and simulation. Dependency relationships are investigated between the characteristics time, cost and quality. A bivariate exponential extension distribution is developed to model time-cost dependency of a project phase and a method defined for obtaining the convolution of n such densities. Time-quality loss relationships are discussed and a model developed. A generalised model of the performance of a project is formulated as a stochastic process where the state space is partly discrete and partly continuous. Examples where the time, cost and quality characteristics are measured and discussion of possible Markov dependencies are presented in addition to a quality loss dependency model using the uniform distribution. The dependency modelling capabilities of the generalised model are extended and a simulation program is developed to analyse the dependency between the characteristics time, cost and quality loss and the dependency between phases.

Pritchard, C (2005) Skin cancer prevention in the house building industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Rashid, K B A (1998) The processes of construction procurement in Malaysia: Identification of constraints and development of proposed strategies in the context of 'vision 2020', Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Sarhan, S (2018) Institutional waste within the UK construction industry: an exploratory study, Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of Architecture, Design and the Built Environment, Nottingham Trent University.

Sharif, A (1996) A functional analysis of building procurement systems and strategies in an international context, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Taylor, M S (2021) Strategic management accounting practices in medium sized UK construction companies: a mixed-methods approach, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Nottingham Trent University.

Ward, A D (2016) Development of a contextualised understanding of the diffusion of innovation among quantity surveyors in the UK construction industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of Architecture, Design and the Built Environment, Nottingham Trent University.